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A president who lived in delusion.

April 9, 2017

B F Skinner found out that the Law of Effect of Dr. Thorndike worked. Behavior is controlled by its consequence. He called Dr. Pavlov and asked his opinion. Pavlov said, “Yes, behavior is controlled by its consequences and emotions are controlled by associations. Skinner responded, “How?” Pavlov said, “My dog satiated to the sound of a bell today that rang yesterday while the dog was eating a piece of meat. Wow!”  They conducted 10,000 research projects on that and declared, “Conditioning determines how humans live.” If you ignore this basis rule you bring disaster on yourself. Darwin said, “Right on, boys, you got it, awareness is survival of the fittest, those that figured out Conditioning get to eat and those that bite the hand that feed them starve. You reward bad behavior and punish good behavior and you are doomed. You bring disaster on yourself.”

Obama read about it and said, “Hogwash, boys, you psychologists are stupid, it’s all common sense, not Conditioning. We humans are above it all. I will trust Assad to get rid of chemical weapons and he will because I’ll be nice to him.” He did and Assad took advantage of Obama and screwed him up, stupid Rice and Kerry included. There are 2 kinds of people on earth, psychologists say, smart and stupid. The smart ones bomb the hell out of a leader of gas children with Sarin gas. He stops!  The stupid one listens to his mind and here the promises, not the science of behavior, just promises to get off the hook. Obama believed that Assad will send his sarin gas to Russia just because, like kids would say, just because, stupid… because you asked him. Obama trusted the bad guys. Trump trusted his generals. Obama is out. Trump is in. The lesson is simple. Watch the consequences of your behavior, Socrates said, examine your behavior, dude.  and don’t forget the associations and act accordingly. Don’t punish your kid at the dining table and creat his problem eating. We have enough obese people around, you stupid! The other day in the mall I saw a mother screaming at her kid, “Don’t scream at me,” she screamed. The kid screamed back, “You are screaming, mom, not me.” Is there hope for humanity’s awareness of itself? You judge!

Stupid psychiatric diagnosis

April 4, 2017

“It was no secret during the campaign that Donald Trump was a narcissist and a demagogue who used fear and dishonesty to appeal to the worst in American voters,” the Times editorial board wrote in the first of a four-part op-ed titled “Our Dishonest President.”

In September, the same editorial board called Trump “unqualified and unsuited to be president” and said his election would be “catastrophic for the nation.”

Dr. Kinarthy’s, a psychologist, commentary:

Let me analyse this editorial quote from the LA Times:

This article in the LA Times is a classic example of meaningful  “Fake news,” and worse.  An unqualified psychiatric opinion by a louly reporter is not news; it’s fear and ignorance. To brand Trump a “narcissist” without being qualified to judge psychiatric terms is like you and me pick up a person in the street who said something and diagnose him as being paranoid schizophrenic with delusional tendencies. I would not do that even to this LAT reporter although it sounds about right! You are not a trained doctor or a trained tester of presidents with the MMPI. You just have feelings from childhood with dad, growing up in a liberal home. I bet you that the reporter doesn’t even know the DSM definition of a narcissist. Stating banalitiest in public indicates a “System One” error of thinking fallacy as explained by Nobel price winner Dr. Daniel Cahneman.” And, as far as accusing Trump of being a “demagogue,” he is not. President Trump is a very successful businessman. The reporter’s views of him tell us more about the reporter than about Trump!  That kind of jealousy is terrible to feel. The reporter probably doesn’t have a lot of money, never built anything physical that contributed to people living and doesn’t have a beautiful and successful family like Trump has. Jealousy is the most vicious feeling in a relationship (leads to hate, murder, antisemitism, etc). The reporter’s jealousy of Trump means that no one can ever convince him to apologize to president Trump for writing this stupid article! I also see a Freudian Projection in the quote from the LA Times. Trump is not dishonest, the people at the LA Times may be – to write things without knowledge! But, a last segment from the quote in the LAT is the worse! Believing that Trump, a very successful business leader is less qualified to be president than “community organizer” Obama,  oh, my God, it’s stupid! What the reporter really meant was, “Trump is less qualified to be president because he is a right-winger,” and that tells it all about the reporter! It remind me of another newspaper in another country called “Haarets,” that is not qualified to be a newspaper because it is full of fake news.

Sad, sad, sad,  because these fake but powerful reporters and newspapers don’t understand that disseminating their “childhood” views slow the progress of humanity towards peace and prosperity. Let us hope that with education these opinion framers can change. I’ll give it another 100 years before it becomes too late for humanity to recover from the historical damage from Socialism, Fascism, Islamism, Communism, Leftism, Liberalism, or any other future delusions of the good life bring just around the corner!

Psychological analysis: Where is Tesla going?

March 15, 2017

As a super successful investor/psychologist who wrote 2 “Thinking out of the Box” books on investing in the Market through psychology, I’ll give you part of one of my best analyses of Tesla’s future as a CC. You might have guessed by now that investing through psychology (not company balance sheet) literally means that if you do a statistical analysis of variance of share prices, you will have to assign the weight of the variable called CEO of TSLA to more than .51 (Please select other 4 variables as you wish). That means that all the other variables of predicting share price movement, by definition, must be weaker than .49 combined, expecting also a small error variance! Therefore, Alon Musk becomes the grand wazir here responsible for reading the “Tea leafs” of the personality of  Trump, the new CEO of the country! In sum, these 2 genius CEO’s will determine how much money Tesla the “Cash Cow” (CC) will bring us! Kapish?

Tesla on November 8 (Election Day) was $194.94 per share (Numerology: Trump/Tesla 94/94). Trump won the CEO Prez. by surprise. Musk was in shock, Tesla dropped to $181.45 by November 14. Eleven days later we had a reality check and the idea of Trump as CEO materialized by November 25, the market (and Musk) had a second thought about Trump, and Tesla jumped back to $196.65. Trump was still inexperienced and Goofy as president, the market reacted and Tesla went back to $181.45 by December 2. The public still weren’t sure that Trump would deliver big as promised. In December Trump started delivering his good high energy CEO stuff. He and Alon Musk became “presidential” (Musk was appointed economic adviser) and the cash cow woke up. By January 24, 2017 Tesla reached $254.47, then $249.24, and by February 14 it was $255.85 and by March 13 Tesla was $280 per share!!!

The analysis:

A Tesla share earned about a $100 in 2 months! What happened between December 2, 2016 and February 14, 2017 were 2 transformations: Alon Musk who was a leftist liberal who disliked Trump a lot, was appointed by Trump as economic adviser (cognitive dissonance). Alon was forced mentally to realize for the first time ever to his chagrin that Trump was his ticket to great success, a genius like him that meant business when he said “let’s make American great again,” just like Musk meant business when he said, “Let’s live on Mars.” (Alon Musk will one day be the energy Tzar of the USA and Tesla will be the prime energy company of America). These 2 individuals will define the 21st Century!!!!

Back to Tesla making money: Between January 25 and March 14, there were 5 support/resistance changes in Tesla shares curve. That and other indicators mean that the public is still cautious in accepting the transformation of the United States into a prime mover of business on earth (The damage socialist Obama has caused as president will continue to be visible for a while). The public is skeptic about Tesla, Musk and Trump at the helm. Where is Tesla going from $250 per share? Up or down? Where is Alon going from Tesla, Solar City, the Tunnel under Los Angeles, Space X and landing  settlers on Mars? To bankrupcy? And, where is Trump going to do for the next 4 (probably 8) years as CEO of the greatest country on earth? Really make life here great?

Can Trump deliver what Obama couldn’t?

March 11, 2017

Yes, you bet, I put my money where my mouth is already, yes, Trump will deliver, it’s in his ‘genes’ to deliver on promises. Trump is not Obama. Trump got rich in America, Obama got rich in government, Trump built things, Obama built government programs, Trump invested, Obama run welfare programs, Trump invested big, Obama helped your savings accounts make 1% more interest.

Why? It’s in their personalities. Obama is afraid to take risks. He is a passive person. Trump is a nationalist for America, Obama is an internationalist for the world, Trump is an entrepreneur, Obama is a bureaucrat, Trump thinks big, Obama thinks small, Obama loves a group that thinks like him,  he hires them.  Trump loves a group that produces real things – he hires them. The 2 men are so different psychologically like night and day, Obama is a socialist in disguise, a classic leftist thinker, a pacifist among wolves, a sweet simpleton among the sharks, a navigator of a huge ship who thinks he was a skipper of a small boast, in shot, Obama was the mistake of the unthinking minority voters in America. What about Trump?  Trump is hated by millions of insecure people because they fear the consequences when he says things outside the box. That is stupid because democrats are the very people who treat bad people with kindness and are not afraid of the consequences! They got it reversed.  Trump is loved by people who know how to connect the dots and kick ass as needed. It is terrible when you give money to terrorists like democrats do and then say either that “These are not terrorists, they can be nice people soon because I gave them money to go to school.” Republicans live in a world they way it is, democrats live in the world the way they want it to be. Democrats are paternalistic, so they keep you needy, republicans help you become independent. Leftists are collectivistic, rightist are individualistic. The difference between republicans nad democrats are night and day. Anyone who tell you otherwise is an idiot. don’t do business with him unless you want to lose money. Why do you think the “First Nation” in Canada never integrated? The answer is simple: It’s because Liberal governments are paternalistic?  I  could go on and on but I will stop here because as you know leftist readers can never learn a thing from a right-wing psychologist like me how to get a better life. As Trump would say in a twit – sad!

The next 8 years with Trump as president are good for 20 trillion $$$ more in the NYSE , absolutely great for investments. I am already in, are you? If you are a socialist or a democrat – probably not. All your energy in the next 2 years will go to save your seat in Congress. You will lose it unless you get some real value in your American life.  Make your values productively great!

Jack Dorsey: TWTR and SQ are my fraternal twins.

March 6, 2017

I am a successful psychologist-investor so you won’t find in my blog the usual standard analysis you are familiar with. This isn’t about picking up a new CEO off the golf course. Jack Dorsey is a founder! He started with a mom who believed in his IPO’s so much that she attended his openings.  TWTR and SQ  were dear to her that she showed up to his major publicity events. Hey, I have a wife and 4 kids and none od them ever show up in my office to ask me why I bought 5000 shares from Zuckerberg a few years ago!

I bought 5000 shares of Twitter when Trump used Twitter to win the presidency on the cheap (smart man).  I always follow innovators like Mr. T,  Dorsey, Zuckerberg, Jobs, the boys from Google. In my system TWTR at $10 below its IPO it’s a steal – I bought a 1000 at $16 this week, may be 2000 at $14 next week and may be even 3000 at $12, who knows? (I am very cautious). Jack will have to change Twitter’s management and create a money-making platform before I get too excited. He will, or he will have to sell T to the sharks at $10!

SQ is already a winner, I bought shares at $9 and $11 and it’s now $17! You see, the SQ device is an easy way for me to pay bills. I am in control. I spoke at  Universities of Rome and Valencia about psychology of economics; how 2 new variables, the human factor and technology could improve Adam Smith’s original economic formula. My point was that garden variety of mobile paying devices would not work well untill big complex mobile devices and the “cheats” leave the field in about 10 years (yesterday I wanted to tip only 10% in a coffee shop and the complex device in the hand of the server “forced” me to add 20% on my bill instead, and it wasn’t easy to cancel the transaction!).

Jack Dorsey has a future in the market, in my opinion. His Twitter device helped elect a smart president (I voted for Trump) and his SQ device helped save me 50 cents!

 

Did Obama wiretapped Trump Tower?

March 5, 2017

President Trump accuses Ex-president Obama in a Twitter twit this morning at 6 AM of wiretapping Trump phones at Trump Tower in New York City  during the presidential campaign of 2016. Senator Lindsey Graham from South Carolina said this morning in a Town Hall meeting that if Trump’s accusation is true it will be the greatest scandal in American history, greater than Nixon’s Watergate! An experienced psychologist like myself can assign a probability to the truth of the accusation and to the denial by Obama. Let’s find out:

President Trump did not provide evidence in support of his accusation and Ex-president Obama did not provide evidence in support of his denial of the accusation. It may be easy to find the truth soon because almost all communications is recorded nowadays by high-tech systems somewhere, but meantime let’s analyse the psychological probabilities of finding the truth (This system of analysing probabilities is based on System 1 and System 2 discovered by Dr. Kahneman who received the Nobel Price in Economics for his discovery of the systems in 2002).

FACTS: Left wing liberal president Obama wiretapped conservative Prime Minister of Israel Netanyahu’s office when the Israeli leader was running for prime minister against Herzog the socialist. Obama preference for satellite Israel was the Labor’s candidate Herzog. Obama and Herzog (same losing ideology) lost because Netanyahu retaliated against Obama by bypassing the president and going directly to Congress. Chances are that Obama wiretapped Trump Towers as the same gambling strategy. Obama and this time Hillary lost because Trump retaliated against Obama by going directly to the American people bypassing the “swamp media.”

Why does Obama as president lose major fights? Obama’s passion since his youth was the Love of Socialism (distribute the wealth to the masses and get a few millions for himself). He failed on the first one. America was not built like the European Union (EU), America was built on innovation and investing and not on puny savings accounts! Obama from Hawaii was inexperienced coming to the presidency on the mainland, carrying with him a burden of a false ideology of getting freebies for the young, a leftist spending money ideology. And, appeasing enemies that kick you in the ass as a “Thank you.”. He hated with passion Teddy Roosevelt’s idea of “Speaking softly and carrying a big stick.” Obama was a great speaker and he liked to speak loudly and carry a small peaceful stick (Assad, Montgomery, etc.).

The chances that Obama wiretapped Trump during the election is high. I would give it 90% because Obama has a leftist fascist trait of being unwilling to compromise and unable to give in or give up. He is a “Sweet Fascist.” He will fight Trump the republican to the bitter end. Chances are (100%) that Trump will win it most, be reelected in 2020 and make the democrats the smallest political party in Congress ever! Trump’s personality is a BIG WINNER who are seen by liberals as a loser no matter how many wars he wins, it’s frustrating but it is a fact. Even when ISIS is gone Pelosi would say, “but it wasn’t Trump who did it.” Chances are she won’t be in Congress by then. Well, it’s a “Brave New World” folks and it is coming.

Final thought: In the 20th century it was right-wing fascism that killed people. in the 21st century it is Left-wing fascism that kills people. If you know Buddha you certainly understand BALANCE in human history, the bad guys of yesterday became the good guys of today and the good guys of yesterday became the bad guys of today. Thank you Trump for “cleaning the Swamp.” Please don’t underestimate how wide-spread and stinky it is! Donald, you are a good guy for America.

President Trump: Dodd-Frank has got to go!

February 7, 2017

2006-7: Bank presidents weren’t happy making millions, they wanted to make billions. They were paternalistic human beings – power makes leaders greedy when supervisors are not watching (This psychologist is not politically correct). Loaning money to poor people (who can’t pay back) feels good, but it’s poor thinking.  The banks collapsed without getting cash back but the bank presidents got rich from government bail money. The ensued recession forced the tail-end wimpy Bush and Newby wimpy Obama to beg the Treasury to bail out the banks and the collapsing economy, They are “too big to fail” help the giants in the name of “collectivism.” It takes a village to save a bank, they screamed.  The bank presidents who had made the millions breaking their own banking rules didn’t have to give back the extra money they stole by cheating. That wasn’t nice to do in a Collective atmosphere. No one went to prison. Instead, many CEOs got promoted!

Fable-minded or feeble-minded Dodd and Frank in Congress came to the rescue with a verbose new set of banking regulations that refused to focus on the problem: Smarter regulation of lending and borrowing, not more of it. Why? Because the 2 individuals assigned to the task in Congress, Mr Frank and Mr. Dodd were Democratic politicians, meaning very intellectual, very legalistic, verbose, polemic, heavy on analysis of every aspect of the banking situation, poor on understanding a crisis and possible consequences, not practical on solutions, anti punitive personalities with little understanding of individual and group behavior and consequences, overly forgiving traits, wimpy, in short, ineffective in focusing on the facts in a big financial crisis.

Here comes in president Trump, thank God,  a disliked republican no-nonsense businessman who could handle almost any crisis. Good, DT is not as likable and sweet as Mr. Frank, who loves globalism, paternalism, collectivism and doesn’t have a mean bone in his body.  “Dodd-Frank will be replaced by less regulations so banks can start landing again (This time with collaterals) to make America great again!” As a psychologist, let me add one footnote here about Trump: He didn’t say it but he implied it: “Don’t worry about the bankers, folks, they won’t screw up the American people again. Leaders and partners, of banking, businesses, even of good wifes, don’t cheat when they know someone up there (White House, home) is watching them and KNOWS how to think big, not complicated: HOW TO KICK ASS, and it isn’t anymore wimpy Bush at the helm, weakling Obama in the WH or sweet Frank and his buddy Dodd in Congress. It’s me, strong Trump!!